Sushil Kuner, principal associate at law firm Gowling WLG, flags up that policymakers are concerned about the use ofcryptocurrencies (which are pseudonymous).
It will be interesting to see how companies respond to global anti-money laundering regulatory regimes when they have ambitions to accept Bitcoin as a form of payment.
Cryptoassets have long been criticised for facilitating financial crime including money laundering and fraud.
Bitcoin rose above $50,000 on Tuesday to a new record high, building on a rally fuelled by signs that the world’s biggest cryptocurrency is gaining acceptance amongst mainstream investors.
Bitcoin hit a new high of $50,602, and was last up 5% at $50,300. It has risen around 72% so far this year, with most of the gains coming after electric carmaker Tesla said it had bought $1.5 billion in bitcoin.
It also said it would accept the currency as payment.
But Tesla was only the latest in a string of large investments that have vaulted bitcoin from the fringes of finance to company balance sheets and Wall Street dealing desks, as U.S. firms and traditional money managers have started to buy a lot of it.
We see this as a small but potent insurance policy against the continuing devaluation of the world’s major currencies. Bitcoin diversifies the company’s (much larger) investments in gold and inflation-linked bonds, and acts as a hedge to some of the monetary and market risks that we see’
“I see the promise of these new technologies, but I also see the reality: cryptocurrencies have been used to launder the profits of online drug traffickers; they’ve been a tool to finance terrorism.”
Virgin Wines is to float on the London Stock Exchange next month with a valuation of about £100m as the Covid-19 pandemic increases demand for its home delivery business model.
The company, bought out of Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin group in 2005, mostly sells wine through its WineBank and Wine Plan subscription schemes, but also on a pay-as-you-go basis. It has 169,000 active customers, of which 147,000 are members of its subscription schemes.
The company has benefited as people have been spending far more time at home during the pandemic, and pubs and bars have been shut during lockdowns. It said customers were spending more to buy high quality wine. The off-trade market for wine specialists was estimated to be worth £2.4bn last year.
Back in the City, the early rally has rather fizzled out.
The FTSE 100 has dropped back from its one-month high, now down 4 points at 6751.
Mining giants are still up following this morning’s results from BHP Billiton (+1.8%) and Glencore (+3.3%), along with jet engine maker Rolls-Royce (+2.3%) and HSBC (+1.8%).
But UK-focused companies are dipping back after Monday’s rally, with catering business Compass (-2.6%), retail chain JD Sports (-2.2%), and DIY group Kingfisher (-1.8%) among the fallers.
The Financial Times have an interesting story this morning – that China is considering limited exports of rare earth minerals to the US.
That could be a significant move, as such materials are essential for certain electronics – including green technology and military equipment – and much of the production comes from China.
China is exploring limiting the export of rare earth minerals that are crucial for the manufacture of American F-35 fighter jets and other sophisticated weaponry, according to people involved in a government consultation.
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology last month proposed draft controls on the production and export of 17 rare earth minerals in China, which controls about 80 per cent of global supply. Industry executives said government officials had asked them how badly companies in the US and Europe, including defence contractors, would be affected if China restricted rare earth exports during a bilateral dispute.
“The government wants to know if the US may have trouble making F-35 fighter jets if China imposes an export ban,” said a Chinese government adviser who asked not to be identified. Industry executives added that Beijing wanted to better understand how quickly the US could secure alternative sources of rare earths and increase its own production capacity.
Fund managers are extremely optimistic about the global economic outlook, according to Bank of America’s latest survey.
It found that cash levels are at their lowest in several years, as investors pile into assets such as stocks and commodities.
Reuters has a good take:
Cash levels in investment portfolios have hit the lowest since just before the so-called taper tantrum of 2013, according to Bank of America’s February fund manager survey, which also showed investors to be overwhelmingly bullish on the economic outlook.
World stocks have been notching successive record highs in 2021, with central banks remaining supportive and governments injecting money into the system to get economies up to speed after the damage caused by COVID-19.
“The only reason to be bearish is … there is no reason to be bearish,” Michael Hartnett, BofA’s chief investment strategist, told clients, who have the highest equity and commodity allocations in a decade.
A net 91% of them expect a stronger economy, the best ever reading in BofA’s survey published on Tuesday, which covered 225 fund managers with $645 billion in assets under management.
“The only reason to be bearish is there is no reason to be bearish:” BofA fund manager survey. The survey shows global growth expectations at all-time high, cash levels at 8-year low, equity & commodity allocations at highest since 2011, & only 13% say it’s a bubble.
From the latest @BofA_News Fund Manager Survey: Cash levels at 8-year lows; sentiment at all-time high; equity allocations highest in a decade….and only 13% think there’s a bubble.
Cryptocurrency bitcoin struck a fresh record high earlier this morning, touching $49,972 for the first time before dipping back (it’s currently trading around $48,800).
“The financial market experts are optimistic about the future. They are confident that the German economy will be back on the growth track within the next six months.
Consumption and retail trade in particular are expected to recover significantly, accompanied by higher inflation expectations.”
However, ZEW’s gauge of current conditions dropped to -67.2 in February, from -66.4 the previous month.
Here’s some reaction:
BP PRIME UK (@bpprimeuk)
Good news for Eurozone business morale: Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment index rises to 71.2 in Feb from previous 61.8. Analysts expected a decrease to 59.6@graemewearden
The eurozone shrank slightly less than first thought at the end of 2020, new data shows, but it still faces a double-dip recession.
Eurozone GDP shrank by 0.6% in the October-December quarter, statistics body Eurostat has reported.
That’s better than the first estimate of a 0.7% contraction. But as many economists forecast that GDP will also shrink in the current quarter, the eurozone is still in double-dip territory.
For 2020, GDP shrank 5%, again slightly better than the 5.1% first reported.
In contrast, the UK economy grew by 1% in October-December – but shrank by 9.9% during last year.
The indignity… Eurostat seems to have removed the UK from its data tables but is still including some other non-EU countries inc Switzerland and the United States. A shame in this case as UK Q4 GDP growth was considerably stronger than the EU average. pic.twitter.com/gbDXmqjTTQ
The pound has touched a new 33-month high against the US dollar this morning, amid optimism that the UK economy will rebound when lockdown restrictions are lifted.
Sterling rose to $1.395, up half a cent, having already hit its highest level since the end of April 2018 on Monday.
It also struck a new nine-month high against the euro, of €1.148, before dipping back.
With the vaccination programme running at pace, and new Covid-19 infections falling, there is optimism about the UK recovery (Boris Johnson will outline the roadmap to ease restrictions next week).
Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades, says sterling is beating expectations in 2021:
The British pound continues to edge higher versus other major currencies during early Tuesday trading. Sterling’s performance is defying the forecasts of most analysts, who saw the post-Brexit constraints and the economic impact of the pandemic in Britain as strong headwinds for the currency.
However, the pound is finding support amidst a global rise in investor confidence, that is proving positive for risk related assets, and because of the success of the British vaccine rollout, which has placed the country ahead of its peers and in pole position for the post-pandemic economic rebound.
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